Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)


	Portuguesa RJ		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.80	3.20
	2.20	2.90	3.15
	2.25	2.93	3.36
	2.36	2.63	3.53	Watch
	2.25	2.70	3.20
	2.23	2.80	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	2.79 ↓ (2.83)	3.3 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
40.2%

Draw
32.4%

EC Noroeste
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

32.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Elicley ⚽,
45+6', 1 - 1, Rafael Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Portuguesa RJ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Noroeste is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Portuguesa RJ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portuguesa RJ could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
06.06.26	Portuguesa - Portuguesa RJ	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Portuguesa RJ - America RJ	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Madureira - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Portuguesa RJ - Água Santa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWT
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	EC Noroeste - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Nova Iguaçu - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Maricá - EC Noroeste	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLWW

Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide