Match Info

Carioca C - Round 10

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	EC Resende		Duque Caxiense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.54	4.62
	1.67	3.54	4.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.07)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	4.62 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Resende
54.5%

Draw
25.7%

Duque Caxiense
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Resende's performance.

Duque Caxiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duque Caxiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Resende than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque Caxiense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duque Caxiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 9)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Duque Caxiense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Resende could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Resende
Brazilian Carioca C
06.07.25	União Central - EC Resende	4:3 ✺
03.07.25	EC Resende - Juventus RJ	Juventus RJ awarded ✺
29.06.25	CAAC Brasil - EC Resende	Caac Brazil awarded ✺
22.06.25	EC Resende - Santa Cruz RJ	0:3 ✺
08.06.25	EC Resende - Mesquita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L??LL
- Duque Caxiense
Brazilian Carioca C
14.07.25	Duque Caxiense - União Central	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Juventus RJ - Duque Caxiense	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Duque Caxiense - CAAC Brasil	3:0 ✺
29.06.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Duque Caxiense	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Duque Caxiense - EC Vera Cruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT

EC Resende - Duque Caxiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide