Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)
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EC São José Porto Alegre |
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Portuguesa RJ |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.30 |
2.75 |
3.10 |
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 |
2.25 |
2.85 |
3.15 |
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 |
2.39 |
2.85 |
3.41 |
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 |
2.14 |
2.97 |
3.53 |
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 |
2.35 |
2.60 |
3.35 |
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2.35 |
2.63 |
3.39 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.09) |
2.78 ↓
(2.89) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
EC São José Porto Alegre
39.7% | Draw
32.9% | Portuguesa RJ
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-2.3%)EC São José Porto Alegre - Portuguesa RJ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Fabio Rampi ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+4', 🟥,
Preview
First leg.EC São José is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Portuguesa RJ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). EC São José might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).Including home match between the teams, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 03.07.16 | Portuguesa RJ - EC São José Porto Alegre | 0:2 | | 25.06.16 | EC São José Porto Alegre - Portuguesa RJ | 0:1 |
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