Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finalsDate: 21 June 2026, SundayLocation: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)
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 |
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 |
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EC São José Porto Alegre |
|
Santa Catarina |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.85 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.72 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.33 |
2.85 |
3.02 |
|
 |
2.47 |
2.76 |
3.12 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.63 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.41 |
2.79 |
3.04 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.72) |
2.77 ↑
(2.71) |
3.04 ↑
(2.72) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
EC São José Porto Alegre
37.8% | Draw
32.5% | Santa Catarina
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC São José Porto Alegre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.EC São José Porto Alegre - Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Coruja (Own goal),
Preview
First leg.Right now, both teams are showing solid form. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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