Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	EC São Bernardo		União Barbarense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.75	3.1	4.45
	1.72	3.19	4.69
	1.75	3.23	4.74	Watch
	1.75	3	4.8
	1.77	3.22	5.19
	1.75	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São Bernardo
51.9%

Draw
28.7%

União Barbarense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

27.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Danilo ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

EC São Bernardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, União Barbarense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, EC São Bernardo is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	XV de Jaú - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTL
- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.26	União Barbarense - XV de Jaú	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Catanduva - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Marília - União Barbarense	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Bandeirante - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLT

EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide