Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 8

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Paulista		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.82	2.98
	2.47	2.72	2.88
	2.5	2.79	2.99	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.48	2.77	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.35)	2.76 ↓ (2.84)	2.96 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
36.8%

Draw
32.7%

EC São Bernardo
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Paulista - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - EC São Bernardo (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. EC São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Paulista is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

EC São Bernardo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Paulista - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Marília - Paulista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWT
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	XV de Jaú - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLT

Paulista - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide