Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 8

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	União Barbarense		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.88	2.68
	2.75	2.6	2.9	Watch
	2.7	2.6	2.8
	2.72	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.64)	2.75 ↓ (3)	2.8 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
33.9%

Draw
33.3%

XV de Jaú
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

União Barbarense - XV de Jaú Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - XV de Jaú (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - XV de Jaú (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. XV de Jaú (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Jorge Quintero ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Danilo ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by União Barbarense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

XV de Jaú is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Barbarense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, União Barbarense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.02.26	Catanduva - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Marília - União Barbarense	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Bandeirante - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTT
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bandeirante - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Itapirense - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
04.02.26	XV de Jaú - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Rio Branco de Americana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
03.02.24	União Barbarense - XV de Jaú	0:1

União Barbarense - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide