Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	EC São Bernardo		União São João

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.97	2.61
	2.62	3.02	2.67	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.7
	2.6	2.92	2.61
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.22)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.68 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São Bernardo
34.7%

Draw
31.4%

União São João
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC São Bernardo's form might have worsened.

União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União São João's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União São João, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

EC São Bernardo - União São João Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. União São João will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Wesley ⚽,
42', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, (Pen),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

EC São Bernardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches EC São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.02.25	Marília - EC São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Preto - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Catanduva - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWL
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.25	União São João - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Marília - União São João	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	União São João - Desportivo Brasil	3:3 ✺
01.02.25	Comercial SP - União São João	1:3 ✺
29.01.25	Bandeirante - União São João	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
31.01.24	União São João - EC São Bernardo	2:3

EC São Bernardo - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide