Match Info

Serie D - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Goiatuba

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.70	2.95
	2.25	2.80	3.30
	2.54	2.75	3.37
	2.53	2.51	3.41
	2.45	2.45	3.35
	2.67	2.83	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)	2.67 ↑ (2.65)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
37.1%

Draw
34.3%

Goiatuba
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

33.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

33.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Goiatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

EC São José Porto Alegre - Goiatuba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Goiatuba (1.42) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiatuba (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

EC São José is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Goiatuba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

EC São José could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.26	Gama - EC São José Porto Alegre	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Treze - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 penalties ✺
18.07.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Treze	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWTW
- Goiatuba EC
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Goiatuba	2:1 penalties ✺
26.07.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Goiatuba	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Goiatuba - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
12.07.26	Manauara - Goiatuba	1:3 penalties ✺
04.07.26	Goiatuba - Manauara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Goiatuba	1:2
02.08.25	Goiatuba - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

EC São José Porto Alegre - Goiatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide