Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 24

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Hedi-Enneifer (Le Bardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Stade Tunisien		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.34	4.2	8.6
	1.36	4.4	9.28
	1.36	4.11	9.04	Watch
	1.36	4	10
	1.42	4.08	8.38	Watch
	1.36	4.1	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	4.16 ↓ (4.2)	8.76 ↓ (8.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stade Tunisien
67.4%

Draw
22.1%

EGS Gafsa
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.8%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

20.5%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Tunisien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Tunisien than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Stade Tunisien - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Helal S. (G) 5. Arous A. 29. Atoui N. 30. Ayari K. 13. Laifi N. 25. Mugisha B. 4. Ndaw A. 7. Ouerghemmi W. 22. Saafi Y. 34. Sahraoui M. 21. Toure Y.	1. Jeridi R. (G) 23. Agbre N. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 11. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 9. Mbarek H. 10. Mbarek H. 25. Traore A.
Substitutes
8. Ayadi G. 9. Dabbabi N. 16. Dkhili A. (G) 10. Ferchichi S. 33. Gharbi M. 27. Khalfa H. 15. Ouattara O. 26. Riahi M. 20. Smaali M.	12. Ajmani A. 17. Al Omrani A. 24. Bennour M. 16. Ben Rebha R. (G) 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 26. Yasser T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ayari K. ⚽, Saafi Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mbarek H. ↓, Ajmani A. ↑,
46', Ndaw A. ↓, Ayadi G. ↑,
46', Saafi Y. ↓, Smaali M. ↑,
72', Ben Chaieb H. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Ayari K. (Pen),
85', Saafi Y. ↓, Gharbi M. ↑,
85', Atoui N. ↓, Dabbabi N. ↑,
85', Ayari K. ↓, Ferchichi S. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Al Omrani A. ⚽,
90+4', Ajmani A. 🟨,
90+4', Jouini A. ↓, Yasser T. ↑,
90+4', Smaali M. 🟨,
90+5', Al Omrani A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stade Tunisien won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Stade Tunisien is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Stade Tunisien won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:13 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Tunisien won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Tunisien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.03.25	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Stade Tunisien	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Stade Tunisien - Ben Guerdane	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Stade Tunisien - Étoile du Sahel	1:3 ✺
Tunisian Super Cup
16.02.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.02.25	Bizertin - Stade Tunisien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.03.25	EGS Gafsa - Soliman	4:0 ✺
27.02.25	Tataouine - EGS Gafsa	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Club Africain - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	0:1
Tunisian Cup
17.05.24	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	1:6
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
26.11.23	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	1:3
16.09.23	Stade Tunisien - EGS Gafsa	2:2
Tunisian Ligue 2
07.04.22	Stade Tunisien - EGS Gafsa	2:1
Tunisian Cup
15.03.20	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	3:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
15.05.16	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	2:0

Stade Tunisien - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide