Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)


	East Fife		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.9
	3.75	3.5	1.88
	3.93	3.35	2.02
	3.72	3.61	2.02
	3.75	3.33	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
24.9%

Draw
27.1%

Arbroath
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

East Fife - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rollo M. (G) 20. Bah M. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. 11. Peggie R. 17. Latona L. 4. Millar K. 22. McKenna M. 6. McManus C. 23. Culbert S. 10. Trouten A.	1. McAdams A. (G) 16. Watson C. 5. O'Brien T. 2. Kabongolo B. 4. Wilkie J. 11. Dow R. 7. Gold D. 17. Marshall F. 25. Cochrane H. 15. MacIntyre J. 10. Reilly G.
Substitutes
9. Austin N. 7. Bell D. (G) 27. Fairley J. 2. Linton J. 3. Newton L. 12. Nicol G. 8. Slattery P. 1. Thomson K. (G) 24. Wilson H.	27. Enem V. 8. Flynn R. 3. Hamilton C. 62. Mebude D. 6. Muirhead A. 18. Pettifer A. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 19. Todorov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽, Reilly G. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Reilly G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Munro A. 🟨,
63', Gold D. ↓, Flynn R. ↑,
71', Reilly G. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
71', Culbert S. ↓, Newton L. ↑,
78', Millar K. ↓, Nicol G. ↑,
78', Trouten A. ↓, Austin N. ↑,
88', MacIntyre J. ↓, Enem V. ↑,
90', Newton L. 🟨,
90+1', Kabongolo B. 🟨,
90+1', McKenna M. 🟨,
90+3', McManus C. ↓, Slattery P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Arbroath is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, East Fife won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Arbroath - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.89%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish League One
22.11.25	Montrose - East Fife	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	East Fife - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
Scottish League One
08.11.25	Queen of the South - East Fife	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	East Fife - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLT
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
22.11.25	Arbroath - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Ayr United - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arbroath - Ross County	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
24.09.22	Arbroath - East Fife	2:1
Scottish League Cup
14.07.21	Arbroath - East Fife	2:0
Scottish League One
16.03.19	Arbroath - East Fife	2:1
26.02.19	East Fife - Arbroath	1:1
03.11.18	Arbroath - East Fife	1:0
25.08.18	East Fife - Arbroath	0:3
14.04.18	East Fife - Arbroath	0:5

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