Match Info

Championship - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stuart P. (Sco)


	Airdrieonians		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.1	2.58
	2.86	3.19	2.58
	2.68	3.09	2.73	Watch
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.7	2.97	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.76)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.55 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
33.7%

Draw
30%

Arbroath
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Airdrieonians - Arbroath Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arbroath will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Stone H. (G) 25. Constable S. 4. McGinty S. (C) 12. McArthur C. 14. Devine A. 23. Telfer Ch. 33. Hastie J. 15. Thomas D. 18. Barjonas J. 7. Mochrie C. R. 11. Henderson E.	1. McAdams A. (G) 16. Watson C. 6. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 25. Cochrane H. 8. Flynn R. 12. Stewart S. 17. Marshall F. 11. Dow R. 28. Robinson S.
Substitutes
26. Armstrong R. 36. Chisholm M. 8. Gallagher G. 10. Mahon R. 17. McGrattan L. 24. McKinnon C. 20. Melrose C. (G) 38. Smith J. 42. Stirton O.	26. Beadling T. 27. Enem V. 18. Gillie L. 7. Gold D. 2. Lang T. 15. MacIntyre J. 62. Mebude D. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 10. Reilly G.
Coaches
Taylor-Sinclair A.	Hamilton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', McArthur C. 🟨,
33', Barjonas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Muirhead A. 🟨,
63', Robinson S. ↓, Reilly G. ↑,
65', Barjonas J. ↓, McKinnon C. ↑,
65', Thomas D. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
74', Stewart S. ↓, MacIntyre J. ↑,
74', Cochrane H. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
75', Telfer Ch. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
76', Hastie J. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
76', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
90+3', Mahon R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 3.

Airdrieonians is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Arbroath has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Airdrieonians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arbroath has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arbroath	12	3	2	7	7:18	-11	11

Last Results with these Odds

Airdrieonians - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
07.03.26	Queens Park - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.02.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
21.02.26	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
07.03.26	Arbroath - Ross County	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Arbroath - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	4:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	4:3 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
27.12.25	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	1:1
25.10.25	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	1:0
30.08.25	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	1:0
02.04.24	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	1:2
16.03.24	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	5:2

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