Match Info

Championship - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)


	Arbroath		Ross County

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.62
	2.06	3.32	3.61	Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.18	2.86	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.19)	3.11 ↓ (3.28)	3.4 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbroath
43%

Draw
29.8%

Ross County
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ross County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Arbroath - Ross County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 16. Watson C. 6. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 25. Cochrane H. 8. Flynn R. 12. Stewart S. 17. Marshall F. 15. MacIntyre J. 10. Reilly G.	30. Carson T. (G) 5. Pitan L. 31. Gallagher D. (C) 4. Wright A. 6. Randall C. 23. Docherty R. 8. Cornelius D. 43. Reid J. 24. Kamara K. 12. Carbon J. 26. White J.
Substitutes
26. Beadling T. 11. Dow R. 27. Enem V. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 2. Lang T. 62. Mebude D. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 28. Robinson S.	2. Crompton B. 27. Duncan R. 21. Foster B. (G) 7. Henderson J. 9. Ikpeazu U. 38. Lindsay J. 62. Mackie S. 11. Phillips K. 15. Smith D.
Coaches
Hamilton C.	Kettlewell S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kamara K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Marshall F. 🟨,
66', Watson C. ↓, Dow R. ↑,
66', Cochrane H. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
66', Marshall F. ↓, Robinson S. ↑,
71', Beadling T. 🟨,
73', Cornelius D. 🟨,
73', Cornelius D. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
74', Carbon J. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
83', Reid J. ↓, Mackie S. ↑,
86', Docherty R. 🟥,
86', Robinson S. 🟨,
87', Randall C. 🟨,
87', White J. ↓, Crompton B. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Pitan L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arbroath will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Arbroath: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arbroath	10	3	2	5	7:15	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
03.03.26	Arbroath - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	4:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
31.01.26	Queens Park - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWLL
- Ross County
Scottish Football Championship
03.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Ross County	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ross County - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ayr United - Ross County	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ross County - Queens Park	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Queens Park - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
20.12.25	Ross County - Arbroath	0:2
01.11.25	Arbroath - Ross County	3:0
06.09.25	Ross County - Arbroath	1:2
Scottish League Cup
13.10.20	Ross County - Arbroath	2:1
25.07.18	Arbroath - Ross County	4:1
29.07.17	Arbroath - Ross County	0:1 penalties

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