Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2	3.45	3.3
	2	3.59	3.49
	2.20	2.69	4.03	Watch
	2.06	3.4	3.31
	2.15	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.15)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	3.41 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
44.6%

Draw
28.1%

Salisbury
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastbourne Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salisbury could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 1.

Eastbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salisbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Salisbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Eastbourne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastbourne won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Eastbourne Borough - Epsom & Ewell	4:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Horsham - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Totton - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLLT
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
06.09.25	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
02.09.25	Worthing - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Horsham - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.04.25	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
26.12.24	Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury	0:0
English FA Trophy
07.01.20	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
14.12.19	Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury	2:2
English National League South
15.12.12	Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury	1:2
08.09.12	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
28.04.12	Eastbourne Borough - Salisbury	N/A

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