Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Salisbury		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.62	3.75	4.75
	1.62	4.15	4.77
	1.69	3.88	4.47	Watch
	1.61	3.84	4.99
	1.65	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	3.84 ↑ (3.7)	4.66 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
56.4%

Draw
23.9%

Tonbridge Angels
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

23.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Salisbury aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Unwin B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 0 - 2, Peart B. ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, Babajide B. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Coppin N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Salisbury is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
02.09.25	Worthing - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Horsham - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
02.09.25	Tonbridge Angels - Enfield Town	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.03.25	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
31.08.24	Tonbridge Angels - Salisbury	1:0
30.03.13	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
21.08.12	Tonbridge Angels - Salisbury	N/A

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