Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Worthing		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.85	3.65	3.55
	1.84	3.67	3.77
	2.24	3.18	3.19	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.75
	1.83	3.72	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	3.54 ↓ (3.84)	3.6 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
48.4%

Draw
26%

Salisbury
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

22%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Worthing - Salisbury Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Salisbury will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Worthing: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Worthing (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Worthing will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Cook J. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Colbran J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 20).

Recent performances by Worthing have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salisbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Worthing is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Worthing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
30.08.25	Worthing - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Chippenham Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Worthing - Enfield Town	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Horsham - Worthing	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLW
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
30.08.25	Horsham - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Salisbury - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.02.25	Worthing - Salisbury	3:2
03.12.24	Salisbury - Worthing	0:2

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