Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Salisbury		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.88	3.25	2.28
	2.72	3.47	2.45
	2.67	3.37	2.48	Watch
	3	3.25	2.2
	2.91	3.25	2.32
	2.23	3.27	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
33.6%

Draw
28%

Hornchurch
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salisbury's form might have worsened.

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Salisbury - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 1 - 0, Keeya J. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Rees J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 3, Rees J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 3, Davies T. ⚽,
72', Foran T. 🟨,
81', 3 - 3, Higgs T. ⚽,

Preview

Salisbury is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hornchurch is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
23.08.25	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Salisbury - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Salisbury - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Redbridge - Hornchurch	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.02.25	Hornchurch - Salisbury	1:1
12.10.24	Salisbury - Hornchurch	2:2
12.01.13	Hornchurch - Salisbury	2:2
18.08.12	Salisbury - Hornchurch	N/A

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