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Current Win Probability
Eastern AA 46.1%
Draw 24.8%
Hong Kong Rangers 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
25.3%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
24.2%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Hong Kong Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Eastern AA - Hong Kong Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 21. Almazan D. 11. Felipe Sa 33. Gao M. H. 27. Gondra M. K. 2. Hall C. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 22. Leung Kwun-Chung 9. Okubo Y. 19. Yiu Ho-Ming
70. Yip Ka-Yu (G) 45. Ansah M. 99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 22. Chen H. 5. Hayashi R. 3. Kim Min-Kyu 7. Lau Chi-Lok (C) 4. Leung W. F. 35. Panigazzi M. 16. Wegener M. 14. Yakubu Nassam I.
Substitutes
10. Bleda M. 37. Chang Kwong-Yin 88. Cheung M. H. 91. Gil Martins 44. Gurung P. 25. Ko C. W. (G) 32. Lam H. 26. Liu F. (G) 65. Wong Fred Yang 30. Wong Tsz-Ho 42. Yeung T.
13. Chan K. (G) 30. Chow W. 79. Chow Y. I. 29. Cortes M. 44. Fung Kwun-Ming 27. Lam Lok-Yin J. 18. Lau Y. A. 11. Ma Y. 28. Wong M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Gondra M. K. 🟨,
21', Leung Kwun-Chung 🟨,
30', Lam H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Yiu Ho-Ming ↓, Wong Tsz-Ho ↑,
53', Leung Kwun-Chung ↓, Bleda M. ↑,
63', Chen H. ↓, Cortes M. ↑,
65', Gao M. H. ↓, Lam H. ↑,
71', Panigazzi M. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Ansah M. ⚽,
84', Hall C. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
85', Wegener M. ↓, Lau Y. A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Okubo Y. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 3.
Eastern AA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hong Kong Rangers has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Eastern AA might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:22. (average 2.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Eastern AA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).