Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Eastern AA		Eastern District

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.52
	2.42	3.58	2.64
	2.37	3.65	2.53	Watch
	2.38	3.36	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)	3.5 ↑ (3.39)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern AA
38.2%

Draw
26.1%

Eastern District
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern AA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Eastern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Eastern AA - Eastern District Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 21. Almazan D. 10. Bleda M. 33. Gao M. H. 27. Gondra M. K. 2. Hall C. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 5. Lorenz M. 9. Okubo Y. 19. Yiu Ho-Ming	23. Paulo Cesar (G) 4. Bruno Bianconi 15. Bruno Luiz 11. Chang H. M. 10. Gu Bin 5. Helio (C) 18. Kuach Yuel V. 16. Kwok T. B. 27. Li Ngai-Hoi 17. Manzoki C. 47. Takatori S.
Substitutes
17. Carvalho G. 37. Chang Kwong-Yin 88. Cheung M. H. 43. Contiero U. 44. Gurung P. 25. Ko C. W. (G) 26. Liu F. (G) 65. Wong Fred Yang 42. Yeung T.	8. Andric A. 26. Chan Y. 54. Chan Yin-Hei 77. Ho K. 88. Kwok H. 12. Lam C. 9. Leo 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 44. Wong C. 3. Wong C. S. 72. Yoong K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Helio 🟨,
28', Takatori S. 🟨,
34', Bleda M. 🟨,
35', Gondra M. K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Yiu Ho-Ming ↓, Chang Kwong-Yin ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Okubo Y. ⚽,
69', Gu Bin ↓, Andric A. ↑,
69', Chang H. M. ↓, Leo ↑,
69', Kwok T. B. ↓, Chan Y. ↑,
82', 🟨,
85', Almazan D. 🟥,
88', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Wong C. ↑,
90', Gao M. H. ↓, Contiero U. ↑,
90+6', Gondra M. K. ↓, Carvalho G. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Eastern AA is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eastern District is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Eastern AA has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eastern AA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Eastern District	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
7	Eastern AA	4	1	0	3	6:8	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern AA
Hong Kong FA Cup
07.03.26	Eastern AA - Eastern District	0:1 penalties ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
28.02.26	Eastern AA - Lee Man	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	North District - Eastern AA	0:3 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
08.02.26	Eastern AA - Hong Kong Rangers	1:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
28.01.26	Eastern AA - North District	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWLL
- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong FA Cup
07.03.26	Eastern AA - Eastern District	0:1 penalties ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
01.03.26	North District - Eastern District	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong Rangers	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Eastern District - North District	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Hong Kong FC - Eastern District	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong FA Cup
07.03.26	Eastern AA - Eastern District	0:1 penalties
Hong Kong Premier League
01.11.25	Eastern District - Eastern AA	1:0

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