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Current Win Probability
Eastern AA 23.1%
Draw 20.9%
North District 56%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
23%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
22.4%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastern AA's form might have worsened.
North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North District's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern AA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North District than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North District, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eastern AA - North District Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Ko C. W. (G) 20. Alonso C. 5. Cova A. 11. Felipe Sa 27. Gondra M. K. 32. Lam H. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 23. Lee Lok-Him 16. Leung C. (C) 9. Okubo Y. 65. Wong Fred Yang
13. Chan K. (G) 22. Arboleda Y. 20. Kayke David 10. Law Hiu-Chung 9. Lo Kong-Wai (C) 16. Mosquera K. 5. Paez C. 70. Samuel Granada 11. Weverton Gudula 3. Wong Chun-Ho 37. Wong Tsz-Ho
Substitutes
88. Cheung M. H. 66. Gao M. 33. Gao M. H. 22. Leung Kwun-Chung 14. Loong T. 19. Lorenzo N. 7. Naveed 4. Parada Gil A. 1. Yapp H. (G) 42. Yeung T. 26. Yuen Ho-Chun (G)
18. Dai T. M. 4. Fung Kwun-Ming 19. Khan J. 63. Li H. D. (G) 2. Singh B. K. 23. Siu C. N. 6. Tsang C. 87. Tsui L. 8. Vinicius Soares 15. Wong H. 21. Yau T. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Lee Lok-Him ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Kayke David ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Paez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 3, Kayke David ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 4.
In recent outings, Eastern AA has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
North District is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, North District has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with North District holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Eastern AA has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 21:9 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Eastern AA against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:7 goals (averaging 2.4:1.4 per game).
Hong-kong
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Ko C. W. (G) 
Alonso C. 
Cova A. 
Felipe Sa 
Okubo Y. 
Arboleda Y. 
Lorenzo N. 
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