Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Siu Sai Wan Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc, RTHK TV 32


	Eastern District		Kowloon City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.9	1.85
	3.3	3.9	1.92	Watch
	3.2	3.65	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.67)	3.82 ↓ (3.85)	1.91 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern District
28.3%

Draw
23.9%

Kowloon City
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

23.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

22.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastern District's form might have worsened.

Kowloon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kowloon City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kowloon City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Eastern District - Kowloon City Predictions

Users Predictions: Kowloon City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kowloon City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Paulo Cesar (G) 8. Andric A. 4. Bruno Bianconi 15. Bruno Luiz 11. Chang H. M. 26. Chan Y. 5. Helio (C) 2. Jones L. 18. Kuach Yuel V. 6. Matheus Favali 47. Takatori S.	88. Yuen Ho-Chun (G) 8. Chiu W. 5. Eli D. 23. Ho L. 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 27. Kayron 6. Kessi 77. Lee C. 14. Loong T. 11. Luizinho 21. Tsang Kam-To (C)
Substitutes
54. Chan Yin-Hei 77. Ho K. 88. Kwok H. 12. Lam C. 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 13. Razeek A. 44. Wong C. 3. Wong C. S. 14. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 72. Yoong K.	3. Carioca 1. Cheung K. (G) 28. Chui W. 92. Fung T. 95. Fung T. W. 25. Hui Ka-Lok 80. Kwan H. C. 79. Kwok Y. 13. Kwong T. (G) 19. Verkade T. 91. Wong L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Luizinho ⚽,
45+1', Kuach Yuel V. 🟨,
45+6', Matheus Favali 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Takatori S. ↓, Razeek A. ↑,
46', Chang H. M. ↓, Yoong K. ↑,
56', Matheus Favali 🟨,
56', Paulo Cesar 🟨,
61', Yoong K. 🟨,
82', Andric A. (Pen),
83', Luizinho 🟨,
86', Ho L. 🟨,
88', Chiu W. ↓, Fung T. W. ↑,
88', Lee C. ↓, Hui Ka-Lok ↑,
90+2', Chan Y. ↓, Ho K. ↑,
90+5', Kayron ↓, Carioca ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Kowloon City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eastern District won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong Premier League
25.10.25	Southern District - Eastern District	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lee Man - Eastern District	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eastern District - Hong Kong FC	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Eastern District - Kitchee	0:1 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
03.09.25	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLL
- Kowloon City FC
Hong Kong Premier League
26.10.25	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kowloon City - North District	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Kowloon City	2:3 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
28.09.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Kowloon City	4:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
21.09.25	Kowloon City - Wofoo Tai Po	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Senior Shield
03.09.25	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1 ET

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