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Current Win Probability
Kowloon City 28.5%
Draw 24.1%
North District 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
22.9%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
22.4%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kowloon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
North District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kowloon City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North District than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Kowloon City - North District Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Yuen Ho-Chun (G) 8. Chiu W. 5. Eli D. (C) 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 27. Kayron 6. Kessi 14. Loong T. 11. Luizinho 10. Park M. 20. Yim Kai-Cheuk 2. Yu Pui-Hong
1. Chung H. (G) 22. Arboleda Y. 20. Kayke David 29. Khan J. 9. Lo Kong-Wai (C) 5. Paez C. 70. Samuel Granada 32. Villalobos E. 8. Vinicius Soares 3. Wong Chun-Ho 15. Wong H.
Substitutes
3. Carioca 1. Cheung K. (G) 28. Chui W. 95. Fung T. W. 25. Hui Ka-Lok 9. Jadson 13. Kwong T. (G) 35. Lam C. Y. 77. Lee C. 21. Tsang Kam-To 31. Wong H. 91. Wong L.
26. Chan Chun-Hei 10. Law Hiu-Chung 63. Li H. D. (G) 25. Pun Tsz-Hei 23. Siu C. N. 13. Siu S. 19. Tong C. (G) 6. Tsang C. 11. Weverton Gudula 17. Wong Ching-Hin 73. Wong W. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Park M. ⚽,
42', Chiu W. 🟨,
45+3', Kayron 🟨,
45+9', Paez C. 🟥,
45+10', Park M. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Kessi ⚽,
57', Lo Kong-Wai ↓, Law Hiu-Chung ↑,
57', Kayke David ↓, Weverton Gudula ↑,
62', Yim Kai-Cheuk ↓, Tsang Kam-To ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Samuel Granada ⚽,
64', Law Hiu-Chung 🟨,
77', Eli D. ↓, Carioca ↑,
80', Carioca 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Arboleda Y. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3).
Kowloon City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
North District is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
North District may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North District has had a series of away games.
North District might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kowloon City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 2.3:3).
Including home match between the teams, Kowloon City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
Hong-kong
Watch
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Yuen Ho-Chun (G) 
Kang Jun-Hyeon 
Kayron 
Arboleda Y. 
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