Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Eastern Suburbs		Auckland City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.6	1.9
	3.5	3.15	1.84
	3.7	3.3	1.94
	4.02	3.44	1.95
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.44	3.74	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.98)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Suburbs
25.7%

Draw
26.6%

Auckland City
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.3%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

21.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auckland City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Eastern Suburbs is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auckland City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auckland City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Eastern Suburbs won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 3-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastern Suburbs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Suburbs
New Zealand Premiership
15.01.21	Canterbury United - Eastern Suburbs	1:0 ✺
09.01.21	Eastern Suburbs - Hawkes Bay United	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Eastern Suburbs	1:2 ✺
12.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Team Wellington	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Waitakere United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTT
- Auckland City FC
New Zealand Premiership
15.01.21	Auckland City - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Waitakere United - Auckland City	0:3 ✺
18.12.20	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:1 ✺
12.12.20	Canterbury United - Auckland City	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
14.11.20	Auckland City - Eastern Suburbs	1:0
14.03.20	Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City	0:2
13.12.19	Auckland City - Eastern Suburbs	0:0
25.01.19	Auckland City - Eastern Suburbs	3:2
10.11.18	Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City	0:1
23.03.18	Auckland City - Eastern Suburbs	4:0
10.03.18	Auckland City - Eastern Suburbs	1:0

Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide