Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Eastleigh		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.6	3.25	2.65
	2.67	3.32	2.72
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.57	3.2	2.63
	2.45	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.01)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.69 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
37%

Draw
28.5%

Kidderminster Harriers
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastleigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eastleigh - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 4. Atangana N. 11. Boldewijn E. 7. Carter C. (C) 3. Clampin R. 6. Francillette L. 12. Langston G. 17. Maguire C. 9. McCallum P. 20. Quigley S. 15. Rendall T.	21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 4. Knight-Percival N. 8. Leesley J. 18. Lissimore K. 15. McDonagh G. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C.
Substitutes
10. Barlow A. 26. Chalwell L. 16. Nwabuokei S. 21. Rutherford O. 13. Scott T. (G)	28. Hall K. 10. Hemmings A. 24. Hobson B. 22. Maguire B. 7. Phillips K.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 4.

Recent matches Eastleigh is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kidderminster is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
19.09.23	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Fylde - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:6 ✺
02.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
28.08.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLTW
- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
19.09.23	Gateshead - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Southend United - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.02.16	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	3:2
19.12.15	Eastleigh - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1
25.04.15	Eastleigh - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1
10.03.15	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	1:3
English FA Cup
25.10.14	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	0:1

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