Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 22

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Fylde		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.3	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.34	3.57	2.92
	2.33	3.48	2.87
	2.38	3.3	2.75
	2.27	3.52	2.8
	2.3	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.59)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.82 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
40.2%

Draw
26.9%

Eastleigh
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+4%)

Fylde - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 15. Hugill W. 7. Jolley C. 8. Mitchell E. 5. Obi E. 21. Roberts T. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C)	1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 2. Brindley R. 6. Francillette L. 15. Gape D. 4. Humphries L. 31. Maher N. 20. Quigley S. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Waruih A.
Substitutes
2. Gamble P. 20. Massey G. 18. McFayden L. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 1. Richardson T. (G) 40. Riley J.	5. Fernandez L. 14. Hodson L. 7. Maguire C. 13. Scott T. (G) 23. Semenyo J. 17. Stepien-Iwumene A. 30. Underhill C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Mitchell E. 🟨,
34', Boutin N. 🟨,
42', Maher N. 🟨,
42', Gape D. 🟨,
43', Obi E. 🟨,
44', Whelan C. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Jolley C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Shade T. ⚽,
58', Gape D. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Shade T. ⚽,
79', Brindley R. ↓, Semenyo J. ↑,
79', Jolley C. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
82', Hugill W. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
83', Shade T. ↓, Hodson L. ↑,
86', Taylor J. 🟨,
90+2', Waruih A. ↓, Stepien-Iwumene A. ↑,
90+5', Semenyo J. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Ormerod D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 2.

Fylde is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eastleigh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fylde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fylde won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:16 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
10.12.24	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Fylde - Kidderminster Harriers	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League
30.11.24	Sutton United - Fylde	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Hartlepool United - Fylde	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Braintree Town - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Eastleigh FC
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Hanwell Town - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
English National League
27.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.08.24	Eastleigh - Fylde	4:2
10.02.24	Eastleigh - Fylde	1:2
16.09.23	Fylde - Eastleigh	1:2
11.02.20	Eastleigh - Fylde	2:2
21.09.19	Fylde - Eastleigh	3:1
06.04.19	Fylde - Eastleigh	4:2
08.09.18	Eastleigh - Fylde	0:0

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