Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.33
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.75	3.69	4.85
	2.1	3	3.2
	1.72	3.58	4.65
	1.72	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.37)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	4.33 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
52.3%

Draw
26.2%

Maidenhead United
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidenhead United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidenhead United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Kidderminster Harriers - Maidenhead United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kidderminster will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Maidenhead will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kidderminster: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 4. Knight-Percival N. 11. Lambert J. 8. Leesley J. 18. Lissimore K. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 7. Phillips K. 3. Richards C.	13. Ross C. (G) 2. Asare Z. 20. Clerima R. 10. Ferdinand K. 12. Keetch B. 26. Kinsella L. 5. Lokko K. 11. Mitchell-Lawson J. 7. Parsons H. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R.
Substitutes
14. Brown Z. 28. Hall K. 10. Hemmings A. 22. Maguire B. 15. McDonagh G.	27. Adams C. 3. Beckwith S. 1. Jinadu D. (G) 24. Massey A. 38. Omilabu D.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kidderminster will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
26.08.23	Ebbsfleet United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Bromley	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Fylde - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	York City - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Woking	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWT
- Maidenhead United
English National League
26.08.23	Maidenhead United - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Hartlepool United - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Maidenhead United - Fylde	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWT

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