The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eastleigh 54.8%
Draw 25.7%
Maidenhead United 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
25.7%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
25.2%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastleigh's performance.
Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidenhead United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastleigh that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidenhead United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Eastleigh - Maidenhead United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 2. Brindley R. 6. Francillette L. 15. Gape D. 4. Humphries L. 31. Maher N. 20. Quigley S. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Waruih A.
13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 8. Ferguson N. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
Substitutes
5. Fernandez L. 7. Maguire C. 9. McCallum P. 13. Scott T. (G) 23. Semenyo J. 17. Stepien-Iwumene A. 30. Underhill C.
7. Carvalho R. 1. Collins H. (G) 21. Coyne A. 3. Dyce T. 12. Keetch B. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Francillette L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ajose J. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
65', Cochrane O. ↓, Dyce T. ↑,
73', Quigley S. ↓, McCallum P. ↑,
78', Gape D. 🟨,
81', Onariase E. ↓, Lokko K. ↑,
82', Gape D. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
83', Pettit C. ↓, Carvalho R. ↑,
83', Smith R. ↓, Keetch B. ↑,
86', McCallum P. 🟨,
90+2', Boutin N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 2.
Eastleigh is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Maidenhead is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Eastleigh have a series of guest games.
Eastleigh will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.9:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Maidenhead United - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.35%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.