Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.90	4.33
	1.62	3.70	4.33
	1.68	3.60	4.60
	1.66	3.89	5.26
	1.68	3.93	4.57	Watch
	1.66	3.75	4.95
	1.61	3.80	4.66
	1.65	3.85	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	4.68 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
55.9%

Draw
24.3%

Eastleigh
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Hartlepool United - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merrick M. (G) 12. Eccleston N. 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 2. Benn J. 7. Ilunga B. 8. Miley J. 19. Popov C. 4. Hunter J. (C) 10. Harris W. 28. McKeown C.	1. Townsend N. (G) 14. Akoto N. 6. Eweka T. 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 27. Johnson R. 4. Sidwell H. 24. Cousins J. (C) 11. Blair A. 8. Lundstram J. 7. Dickov M. 12. Hawkins O.
Substitutes
30. Bondo T. 32. Fisher N. (G) 27. Gibson L. 9. Hugill J. 3. John C. 17. Nolan J. 14. Sheron N.	15. Jeffries J. (G) 21. Khumbeni N. 16. Pierre A. 10. Randall W. 17. Rankine D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Eccleston N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McKeown C. ↓, John C. ↑,
46', Eccleston N. 🟨,
57', Ilunga B. ↓, Sheron N. ↑,
72', Dickov M. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
76', Popov C. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
76', Harris W. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
81', Hawkins O. ↓, Duku I. ↑,
86', Lundstram J. ↓, Pierre A. ↑,
86', Akoto N. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
86', Dobson-Ventura T. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
88', Hugill J. 🟨,
90+5', Blair A. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 1, Khumbeni N. ⚽, Sidwell H. (A),
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Hartlepool is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	12	4	3	5	14:18	-4	15
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8:17	-9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
22.08.26	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
11.08.26	Hartlepool United - Middlesbrough U21	0:10 ✺
English National League
08.08.26	Hartlepool United - Barrow	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Hartlepool United - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
22.08.26	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Eastleigh - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Farnham Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Eastleigh - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.03.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	1:0
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2
08.03.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1
16.11.24	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0
23.03.24	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1
07.10.23	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	3:1
13.03.21	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0

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