Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	15:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	14:45	DAZN
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	13:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	14:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	14:45	DAZN
International	18:45	DAZN National League


	Hartlepool United		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.90	4.33
	1.62	3.70	4.33
	1.68	3.60	4.60
	1.66	3.89	5.26
	1.68	3.93	4.57	Watch
	1.66	3.75	4.95
	1.61	3.80	4.66
	1.65	3.85	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	4.68 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
55.9%

Draw
24.3%

Eastleigh
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.9%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Hartlepool United - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merrick M. (G) 12. Eccleston N. 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 2. Benn J. 7. Ilunga B. 8. Miley J. 19. Popov C. 4. Hunter J. (C) 10. Harris W. 28. McKeown C.	1. Townsend N. (G) 14. Akoto N. 6. Eweka T. 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 27. Johnson R. 4. Sidwell H. 24. Cousins J. (C) 11. Blair A. 8. Lundstram J. 7. Dickov M. 12. Hawkins O.
Substitutes
30. Bondo T. 32. Fisher N. (G) 27. Gibson L. 9. Hugill J. 3. John C. 17. Nolan J. 14. Sheron N.	15. Jeffries J. (G) 21. Khumbeni N. 16. Pierre A. 10. Randall W. 17. Rankine D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Eccleston N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McKeown C. ↓, John C. ↑,
46', Eccleston N. 🟨,
57', Ilunga B. ↓, Sheron N. ↑,
72', Dickov M. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
76', Popov C. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
76', Harris W. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
81', Hawkins O. ↓, Duku I. ↑,
86', Lundstram J. ↓, Pierre A. ↑,
86', Akoto N. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
86', Dobson-Ventura T. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
88', Hugill J. 🟨,
90+5', Blair A. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 1, Khumbeni N. ⚽, Sidwell H. (A),
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Hartlepool is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	15	5	3	7	18:24	-6	18
20	Hartlepool	15	5	0	10	15:23	-8	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Eastleigh: 0.72% Hartlepool: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
22.08.26	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
11.08.26	Hartlepool United - Middlesbrough U21	0:10 ✺
English National League
08.08.26	Hartlepool United - Barrow	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Hartlepool United - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
22.08.26	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Eastleigh - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Farnham Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Eastleigh - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.03.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	1:0
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2
08.03.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1
16.11.24	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0
23.03.24	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1
07.10.23	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	3:1
13.03.21	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0

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