Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 20

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, National League TV
Usa	DAZN USA


	Ebbsfleet United		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.5	2.3
	3.01	3.39	2.37
	2.94	3.33	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.91	3.38	2.26
	2.85	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)	3.37 ↓ (3.49)	2.28 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
32%

Draw
27.4%

Eastleigh
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25.3%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 9. Bingham R. 22. Chapman B. 5. Cordner T. 28. Cosgrave A. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 2. O'Neil L. 33. Stewart A. 19. Tanga J. 4. Wright J.	1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 6. Francillette L. 4. Humphries L. 31. Maher N. 9. McCallum P. 20. Quigley S. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 3. Vokins J. 18. Waruih A.
Substitutes
30. Berry D. (G) 26. Dallison T. 10. Fonguck W. 29. Kane T. 36. Manktelow M. 14. Poleon D. 25. Wakely J.	2. Brindley R. 5. Fernandez L. 15. Gape D. 7. Maguire C. 13. Scott T. (G) 17. Stepien-Iwumene A. 30. Underhill C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Vokins J. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Domi F. ↓, Dallison T. ↑,
58', Chapman B. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Quigley S. ⚽,
63', McCallum P. 🟨,
63', McCallum P. ↓, Brindley R. ↑,
63', O'Neil L. ↓, Kane T. ↑,
72', Cosgrave A. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
74', Brindley R. 🟨,
78', Shade T. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
78', Gape D. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
82', Tanga J. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
86', Stewart A. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 2.

Ebbsfleet is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eastleigh is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eastleigh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
16.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	0:6 ✺
09.11.24	Tamworth - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
29.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:1 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTTL
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
23.11.24	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Eastleigh - Boston United	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	3:0
03.10.23	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	5:2
07.12.19	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
07.09.19	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	1:1
29.12.18	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	3:0
27.08.18	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
17.04.18	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	0:1

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