Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.9
	3.4	3.4	1.88
	3.25	3.50	2.00
	3.62	3.93	1.98
	3.3	3.68	2.02	Watch
	3.45	3.85	1.90
	3.41	3.58	1.90
	3.45	3.55	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.91)	3.64 ↑ (3.44)	1.95 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
27.1%

Draw
25.4%

Scunthorpe United
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastleigh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 14. Akoto N. 24. Cousins J. (C) 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Eweka T. 4. Sidwell H. 27. Johnson R. 11. Blair A. 12. Hawkins O. 7. Dickov M.	1. Jones L. (G) 3. Horton B. 5. Evans W. (C) 6. Howe C. 21. Starbuck J. 11. Rowley J. 23. Butterfield J. 10. Brennan L. 7. Howe D. 14. Jones P. 8. Beestin A.
Substitutes
5. Bakare I. 29. Bamey S. 15. Jeffries J. (G) 16. Pierre A. 10. Randall W. 17. Rankine D. 30. Underhill C.	25. Campbell M. (G) 31. Gale J. 18. Hurst K. 22. Ogle R. 12. Parker H. 19. Richards J. 9. Whitehall D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Horton B. 🟨,
18', Howe C. ↓, Ogle R. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Sidwell H. ⚽, Cousins J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Beestin A. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Blair A. ⚽, Cousins J. (A),
61', Howe D. ↓, Whitehall D. ↑,
61', Brennan L. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
61', Rowley J. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
67', Akoto N. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Gale J. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
73', 3 - 2, Lundstram J. ⚽,
77', Starbuck J. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
84', Dickov M. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
88', Lundstram J. ↓, Randall W. ↑,

Preview

Eastleigh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Scunthorpe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Scunthorpe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Scunthorpe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Eastleigh - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.59%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
15.08.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Eastleigh - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Farnham Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Eastleigh - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Eastleigh - Valenciennes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Scunthorpe United - Stoke City U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Scunthorpe United - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	North Ferriby FC - Scunthorpe United	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Eastleigh	0:1
21.10.25	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	1:1
04.03.23	Scunthorpe United - Eastleigh	0:1
01.11.22	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	2:0

Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide