Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		Woking

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	2.70	3.30	2.20
	2.8	3.45	2.22
	2.9	3.68	2.34
	2.73	3.57	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.25
	2.81	3.94	2.28
	2.85	3.55	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.86)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
33.2%

Draw
25.9%

Woking
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Woking have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woking than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Eastleigh - Woking Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Caprice J. 6. Eweka T. 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 27. Johnson R. 24. Cousins J. 4. Sidwell H. 11. Blair A. 8. Lundstram J. 7. Dickov M. 23. Ghandour H.	22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 30. Georgiou A. 4. Okoli C. 5. Odusina T. 6. Ogie S. 8. Syla R. 26. Turner S. 11. Ward M. 23. Akinola T. 9. Kelly J. 32. Marquis J.
Substitutes
5. Bakare I. 22. Bamey S. 12. Hawkins O. 15. Jeffries J. (G) 10. Randall W. 17. Rankine D. 32. Williams J.	16. Akinola T. 18. Dulson L. 20. Harris T. 14. Hinds T. 10. O'Brien A. 13. Ross C. (G) 7. Sohna H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Blair A. ⚽, Dickov M. (A),
16', Marquis J. 🟨,
36', Johnson R. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽,
40', Jaaskelainen W. 🟨,
41', Blair A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Ghandour H. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
55', Caprice J. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
55', Cousins J. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
66', Kelly J. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
66', Georgiou A. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Dulson L. ⚽, Hinds T. (A),
74', Williams J. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
84', Dickov M. ↓, Bamey S. ↑,
90', Eweka T. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Dulson L. ⚽, Akinola T. (A),
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Ward M. 🟨,
90+6', Turner S. ↓, Akinola T. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14th and 18th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Woking could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Eastleigh has recorded 6 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:24 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eastleigh against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Outrights of English National League for now

Woking: 0.62% Eastleigh: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Woking	12	4	3	5	20:19	1	15
17	Eastleigh	12	4	3	5	14:18	-4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Eastleigh - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.47%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Woking - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
30.09.26	Eastleigh - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWLT
- Woking
English National League North
29.09.26	Woking - Solihull Moors	2:4 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Carlisle United - Woking	2:5 ✺
19.09.26	Woking - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Boston United - Woking	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Woking - Altrincham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.04.26	Woking - Eastleigh	3:3
26.12.25	Eastleigh - Woking	1:1
26.04.25	Woking - Eastleigh	2:2
24.09.24	Eastleigh - Woking	2:2
29.03.24	Woking - Eastleigh	0:1
24.10.23	Eastleigh - Woking	0:1
04.02.23	Eastleigh - Woking	1:0

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