Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Harrogate Town		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.00	5.00
	1.55	3.90	4.60
	1.62	3.90	4.60
	1.65	4.01	5.16
	1.65	4.05	4.63	Watch
	1.63	3.90	4.95
	1.60	4.06	5.08
	1.59	4.10	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	3.99 ↑ (3.93)	4.87 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
57.7%

Draw
23.2%

Eastleigh
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Harrogate Town - Eastleigh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Harrogate (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Harrogate Town (1.62) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hutchinson L. (G) 24. Cass L. 26. Horton G. 4. Baptiste A. 16. Dreyer S. 11. McGowan W. 14. Williams M. 3. Bristow E. 15. Hobson B. (C) 23. Dolaghan B. 17. Hmami J.	15. Jeffries J. (G) 27. Johnson R. 6. Eweka T. 18. Dobson-Ventura T. 7. Dickov M. 4. Sidwell H. 24. Cousins J. (C) 11. Blair A. 8. Lundstram J. 17. Rankine D. 23. Ghandour H.
Substitutes
6. Burrell W. 19. Craig M. 35. McGuckin C. 18. Muldoon J. 1. Oxley M. (G) 21. Taylor E. 7. Thomson G.	5. Bakare I. 22. Bamey S. 2. Caprice J. 9. Duku I. 10. Randall W. 20. Searle J. (G) 32. Williams J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Cousins J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', Dickov M. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
68', Sidwell H. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
72', Rankine D. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
74', Hmami J. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
74', Dolaghan B. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
78', Dobson-Ventura T. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Hobson B. ⚽, Williams M. (A),
80', McGowan W. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
82', Hobson B. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
84', Dobson-Ventura T. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
84', Ghandour H. ↓, Bamey S. ↑,
85', Williams M. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Thomson G. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ National League PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 12th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to Harrogate for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:6 (averaging 2.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Harrogate against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:0 goals (averaging 3:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Harrogate	13	9	1	3	29:17	12	28
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Harrogate: 5.73% Eastleigh: 0.28%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English National League
19.09.26	Boreham Wood - Harrogate Town	4:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Harrogate Town - Fylde	1:2 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Harrogate Town - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Harrogate Town - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
19.09.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Altrincham - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.02.20	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	3:0
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	2:0
English National League
02.11.19	Eastleigh - Harrogate Town	4:2
22.12.18	Eastleigh - Harrogate Town	2:1
01.09.18	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	4:0

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