Match Info

National League South - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Totton

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.15	5.15
	1.76	3.78	4.25
	1.59	4.24	4.83	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.4
	1.48	4.05	5.64
	1.75	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.93 ↑ (3.92)	4.71 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
56.7%

Draw
23.6%

Totton
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ebbsfleet United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ebbsfleet United - Totton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Barnes F. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Chapman B. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Hessenthaler J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, Barnes F. ⚽,
79', Coker B. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ebbsfleet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ebbsfleet is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ebbsfleet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 3.01% AFC Totton: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8:15	-7	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
10.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Salisbury - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
27.01.26	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTWL
- AFC Totton
English National League South
24.01.26	Totton - Dover Athletic	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Totton	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	Totton - Enfield Town	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Totton - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Salisbury - Totton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.25	Totton - Ebbsfleet United	0:2

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