Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ebbsfleet United		Totton

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	6.00
	1.38	4.35	6.00
	1.43	4.73	6.83
	1.42	4.71	6.4	Watch
	1.41	4.65	6.55
	1.44	4.61	6.41
	1.38	4.70	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)	4.64 ↑ (3.95)	6.34 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
65.6%

Draw
19.8%

Totton
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59%

22.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ebbsfleet United - Totton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebbsfleet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.17) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (5 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Ogunleye D. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Ogunleye D. ⚽,
76', 4 - 0, Nelson R. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 0, Chapman B. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 20th).

Ebbsfleet is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Totton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ebbsfleet may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ebbsfleet holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ebbsfleet has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:0 (averaging 3:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ebbsfleet against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet	12	8	4	0	29:7	22	28
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13:24	-11	16

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 21.36% AFC Totton: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
10.10.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Sholing	1:2 ✺
English National League South
29.09.26	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tonbridge Angels - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTW
- AFC Totton
English National League South
10.10.26	Totton - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Dover Athletic - Totton	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Totton - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Totton	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Totton - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Totton	4:0
08.11.25	Totton - Ebbsfleet United	0:2

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