Match Info

National League South - Round 2

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Ebbsfleet United		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.75	4.20
	1.68	3.65	3.90
	1.66	4.14	4.63
	1.7	4.01	4.32	Watch
	1.64	4.05	4.45
	1.66	3.72	4.29
	1.63	3.90	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	4.31 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
55.2%

Draw
23.5%

Folkestone Invicta
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folkestone Invicta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebbsfleet United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ebbsfleet United - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebbsfleet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ebbsfleet (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebbsfleet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Peake L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Ebbsfleet has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Folkestone has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ebbsfleet may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ebbsfleet holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ebbsfleet has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Ebbsfleet against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Folkestone: 3.01% Ebbsfleet: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12
15	Folkestone	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Sholing	1:2 ✺
English National League South
29.09.26	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tonbridge Angels - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWTT
- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
26.09.26	Salisbury - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.09.13	Ebbsfleet United - Folkestone Invicta	1:0

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