Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Serie D 🌤️ ...


	Ebolitana		Gravina

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.00	2.50
	2.62	2.92	2.55
	2.59	3.1	2.59	Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.5
	2.5	3.13	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)	3 ↑ (2.96)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebolitana
35%

Draw
29.7%

Gravina
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebolitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebolitana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ebolitana - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Diabate Y. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Santoro D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Ganchier B. ⚽,
90+1', Urso F. 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 2, Paudice L. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th in the Serie D - Group H (Play Out: ) and 7th).

Ebolitana is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Gravina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gravina	9	3	5	1	16:11	5	14
13	Ebolitana	9	2	3	4	8:14	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Ebolitana 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.10.26	Palmese 1914 - Ebolitana	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ebolitana - Martina Calcio	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ischia Isolaverde - Ebolitana	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Ebolitana - Melfi	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Manfredonia - Ebolitana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.10.26	Gravina - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Nardo - Gravina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Virtus Francavilla - Gravina	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.10.26	Gravina - Virtus Francavilla	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Real Normanna - Gravina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLWL

Ebolitana - Gravina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide