The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gravina 56.5%
Draw 26.6%
Francavilla 16.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.3%
26.9%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
21.4%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gravina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Gravina - Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 3.
Gravina has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Francavilla is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Francavilla could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Gravina carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Gravina has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:12 (averaging 1.1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gravina against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:5 goals (averaging 1.5:0.6 per game).
Watch
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