Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Ebro		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.85	6.1
	1.45	4.02	7.58
	1.42	4.16	6.98	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.51	3.85	6.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	3.88 ↑ (3.74)	6.79 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
62.9%

Draw
23.6%

Alfaro
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ebro - Alfaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Ebro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alfaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ebro is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ebro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ebro	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Alavés B - Ebro	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ebro - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ejea - Ebro	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ebro - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Basconia - Ebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTT
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Alfaro - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Utebo - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Alfaro - Beasain	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Sestao - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Alfaro - Ebro	0:4

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