The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestao 70.7%
Draw 19.6%
Alfaro 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
22.4%
12%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
18.3%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Sestao - Alfaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Laka A. B. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Sestao have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alfaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Sestao is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
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