Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 16

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Ebro		Formentera

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.6	2.75	2.85
	2.33	2.85	3.05
	2.46	2.79	3.2
	2.34	2.93	3.08
	2.35	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.28)	2.83 ↓ (3.15)	3.05 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
38%

Draw
32.2%

Formentera
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebro's performance.

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebro - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Ebro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Formentera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ebro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.12.22	Peña Deportiva - Ebro	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Ebro - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Atlético Saguntino - Ebro	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Teruel - Ebro	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Ebro - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTLL
- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.12.22	Formentera - Teruel	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Espanyol B - Formentera	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Formentera - Prat	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Badalona Futur - Formentera	3:2 ✺
20.11.22	Formentera - Mallorca B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.03.22	Ebro - Formentera	0:0
17.10.21	Formentera - Ebro	1:0
25.02.18	Ebro - Formentera	0:1
08.10.17	Formentera - Ebro	0:0

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