Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Ebro

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.75
	1.38	3.9	8.5
	1.37	3.95	8
	1.4	4.04	8.75
	1.36	3.75	9
	1.39	3.96	8.2
	1.37	4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	8.34 ↓ (9.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
66.1%

Draw
23%

Ebro
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

22.1%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

11%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-32.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peña Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peña Deportiva - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ebro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Peña Deportiva is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.12.22	Teruel - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Prat - Peña Deportiva	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Peña Deportiva - Badalona Futur	5:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Peña Deportiva - Málaga	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.12.22	Ebro - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Atlético Saguntino - Ebro	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Teruel - Ebro	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Ebro - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Prat - Ebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.04.22	Peña Deportiva - Ebro	1:1
21.11.21	Ebro - Peña Deportiva	1:1
06.05.18	Ebro - Peña Deportiva	2:1
10.12.17	Peña Deportiva - Ebro	1:1

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