The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elgin City 47.5%
Draw 27.3%
Forfar Athletic 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
27.1%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
25.9%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Elgin City - Forfar Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Elgin City will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 23. Grant M. 16. Hyde L. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 26. Booth L. 22. MacIver J. 9. Hester K. 17. Willox K.
21. Stafford N. (G) 2. Lynas A. 4. Wyllie J. 5. Allan M. 15. Lemon M. 20. Haddow A. 14. Mailer A. (C) 16. Arnott A. 11. Brown A. 9. Shepherd S. 10. Rennie M.
Substitutes
25. Brown C. 12. Cairns O. 11. Colloty O. 18. Cummings A. 14. Machado M. 24. Mackay L. 27. Morrison J. (G) 77. Scullion L. 3. Towler E.
26. Alston B. 22. Gadsden T. 7. MacLean R. 1. McCallum M. (G) 19. Pasnik T. 17. Richardson J. 25. Whatley M. 18. Wilson C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Mailer A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Girvan K. ⚽,
38', Lynas A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Shepherd S. ⚽, Brown A. (A),
45', Grant M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Willox K. ↓, Colloty O. ↑,
67', Booth L. ↓, Towler E. ↑,
67', Grant M. ↓, Scullion L. ↑,
72', Arnott A. 🟨,
74', Shepherd S. ↓, Alston B. ↑,
74', Brown A. ↓, MacLean R. ↑,
80', Dingwall R. ↓, Mackay L. ↑,
80', Hester K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
85', Lemon M. 🟨,
86', Haddow A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 2.
Elgin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Forfar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Elgin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).