Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Egüés		Oberena

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.65
	1.75	3.68	4.09
	1.24	5.65	10.28	Watch
	1.7	3.64	4.22
	1.75	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	4.06 ↑ (3.6)	5.45 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egüés
59.2%

Draw
23.4%

Oberena
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egüés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egüés's performance.

Oberena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oberena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egüés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oberena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Egüés - Oberena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Egüés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Egüés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Egüés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Egüés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Valle Egues	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Egüés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.02.26	Izarra - Egüés	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Egüés - Bidezarra	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Txantrea - Egüés	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Egüés - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Egüés - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWT
- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.02.26	Oberena - Huarte	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Cortes - Oberena	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Aoiz - Oberena	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Oberena - Izarra	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Oberena - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.02.23	Egüés - Oberena	3:1
15.10.22	Oberena - Egüés	0:0

Egüés - Oberena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide