Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Oberena		Izarra

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.1	1.82
	4.28	3.29	1.82
	4.2	3	1.83
	4.54	3.24	1.75
	4.2	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.49)	3.18 ↓ (3.34)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oberena
21.1%

Draw
28.6%

Izarra
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20%

26.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

26.3%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oberena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Oberena - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Izarra is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Izarra	8	7	1	0	24:4	20	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.01.26	Oberena - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cirbonero - Oberena	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Oberena - Artajonés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTTW
- CD Izarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.01.26	Izarra - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bidezarra - Izarra	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Izarra - Txantrea	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Pamplona - Izarra	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Izarra - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLW

Oberena - Izarra