Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Cortes		Oberena

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.75
	2.04	3.22	3.51
	1.64	3.54	5.11	Watch
	1.84	3.22	4.04
	1.66	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)	3.33 ↑ (3.22)	4.48 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
52%

Draw
27.5%

Oberena
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Oberena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Cortes - Oberena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 3)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 3.

Cortes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oberena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cortes is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cortes will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	Izarra - Cortes	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cortes - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pamplona - Cortes	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW
- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	Aoiz - Oberena	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Oberena - Izarra	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Oberena - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.09.25	Oberena - Cortes	1:0
27.01.24	Oberena - Cortes	4:0
09.09.23	Cortes - Oberena	2:1
04.02.23	Oberena - Cortes	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Oberena - Cortes	1:2
30.09.17	Cortes - Oberena	3:1

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