The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 29.4%
Draw 32%
Deportivo A Coruña 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
29%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
30%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar's form might have worsened.
Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
45.5%
27.3%
Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Deportivo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Deportivo (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 21. Moreno M. 15. Jair 24. Buta L. 8. Nolaskoain P. 6. Alvarez S. (C) 17. Corpas J. 10. Guruzeta J. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 9. Bautista J.
1. Parreno G. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Loureiro M. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 19. Cruz Luismi 21. Soriano M. 8. Villares D. (C) 10. Hernandez Y. 7. Mulattieri S. 22. Stoichkov
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 18. Ares A. 3. Arrillaga H. 30. Garrido A. 20. Javier Marton 34. Llorente O. 1. Lopez L. (G) 5. Martinez J. 14. Olaetxea L. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.
25. Bachmann D. (G) 3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 27. Fernandez S. 17. Herrera C. 35. Lopez R. 4. Noubi L. 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G) 30. Teijo E.
Coaches
San Jose B.
Hidalgo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Hernandez Y. (Pen),
24', Moreno M. 🟨,
34', Corpas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreno M. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
46', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
58', Cubero S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
64', Buta L. 🟨,
65', Mulattieri S. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
65', Stoichkov ↓, Patino C. ↑,
67', Buta L. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
71', Eddahchouri Z. 🟨,
72', Soriano M. ↓, Comas A. ↑,
73', Parreno G. 🟨,
75', Garrido A. 🟨,
75', Guruzeta J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
81', Villares D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
81', Cruz Luismi ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
84', Comas A. 🟨,
85', Loureiro M. 🟨,
88', Lopez R. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ares A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.
Eibar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A.
(Red Card)
Madariaga A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Deportivo: Gragera J.
(Injury)
Jurado J.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Eibar: Arambarri A.
(Injury)
Javier Marton
(Calf Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo A Coruña - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.