Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	TSN+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free, myCANAL
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Eibar		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.29	3.39
	2.33	3.07	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.23	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.81)	3.27 ↓ (3.61)	3.26 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
42.3%

Draw
28.8%

Levante
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar's form might have worsened.

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	19.4%	8.3%

Eibar - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Levante will win (votes: 1 - 3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 17. Corpas J. 4. Carrillo A. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 3. Gutierrez C. 6. Alvarez S. 10. Pereira M. 21. Guruzeta J. 11. Pascual J. 20. Puertas A. 9. Jon B.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 10. Iborra V. (C) 5. Elgezabal U. 16. Varela Pampin D. 20. Rey O. 24. Alvarez C. 6. Kochorashvili G. 23. Martinez P. 7. Brugue R. 11. Morales J. L.
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 22. Arambarri A. 14. Arrillaga H. 35. Carrasco O. 5. Chema 2. Cubero S. 1. Daniel Fuzato (G) 29. Madariaga A. 18. Merquelanz M. 8. Nolaskoain P. 27. Slavy 19. Villa T.	8. Algobia A. 14. Cabello J. 17. Clemente O. 4. Dela 38. Espi C. 21. Lozano S. 29. Navarro M. 32. Primo A. (G) 9. Romero I. 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Brugue R. ⚽, Kochorashvili G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Puertas A. ⚽, Guruzeta J. (A),
53', Jon B. 🟨,
68', Varela Pampin D. ↓, Cabello J. ↑,
68', Martinez P. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
68', Morales J. L. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
68', Guruzeta J. ↓, Villa T. ↑,
68', Pascual J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
74', Corpas J. ↓, Cubero S. ↑,
74', Alvarez S. ↓, Nolaskoain P. ↑,
75', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
77', Brugue R. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Romero I. ⚽, Brugue R. (A),
86', Gutierrez C. ↓, Slavy ↑,
86', Brugue R. ↓, Dela ↑,
90+2', Pereira M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Puertas A. ⚽, Slavy (A),
90+7', Rey O. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1.

Eibar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Levante is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eibar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Eibar - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Amorebieta - Eibar	0:2 ✺
09.08.24	Eibar - Osasuna B	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
24.08.24	Levante - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Sporting de Gijón - Levante	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Elche - Levante	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Levante - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Levante - Villarreal B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.24	Levante - Eibar	2:2
25.11.23	Eibar - Levante	3:1
09.04.23	Eibar - Levante	1:1
18.12.22	Levante - Eibar	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
10.04.21	Eibar - Levante	0:1
10.01.21	Levante - Eibar	2:1
29.02.20	Eibar - Levante	3:0

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