Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.13	3.55	3.61
	2.05	3.62	3.39	Watch
	2.11	3.52	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	3.42 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
45.6%

Draw
26.8%

Eibar
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing Santander - Eibar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Racing (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. (C) 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 12. Villalibre A.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 4. Arambarri A. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 17. Corpas J. 5. Martinez J. 6. Alvarez S. 30. Garrido A. 10. Guruzeta J. 20. Javier Marton
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 13. Andreev P. (G) 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 3. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez F. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 4. Manu 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.	18. Ares A. 9. Bautista J. 24. Buta L. 27. Garcia H. 1. Lopez L. (G) 16. Madariaga A. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 8. Nolaskoain P. 14. Olaetxea L. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.
Coaches
Lopez J.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Arambarri A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Vicente I. ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Arambarri A. ↓, Nolaskoain P. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Castro J. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
58', Moreno M. ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
58', Martinez J. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
59', Martin A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
59', Villalibre A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
62', Alvarez S. 🟨,
64', Corpas J. 🟨,
66', Ramon P. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
71', Guruzeta J. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
71', Corpas J. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Sangalli M. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
81', Puerta G. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
81', Vicente I. ↓, Arana J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.

Racing is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eibar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eibar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Racing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Racing: Gueye M. (Yellow Cards) Michelin C. (Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Ares A. (Knee Injury) Guruzeta J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Mantilla A. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.85%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Almería - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Náxara - Eibar	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.25	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:2
23.08.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:2
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
12.01.24	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:0
12.08.23	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Racing Santander - Eibar	0:0

Upcoming Matches