Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)


	Eibar C		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.45	3
	2.1	3.59	3.03
	5.81	3.40	1.63	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.19	3.54	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.59)	3.46 ↑ (3.23)	2.72 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar C
34.8%

Draw
28.7%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Eibar C have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Aurrerá de Vitoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.03.26	Leioa - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eibar C - Añorga	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Durango - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Eibar C - Aretxabaleta	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWLW
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Añorga	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Aretxabaleta	5:1 ✺
15.02.26	Zamudio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.11.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Eibar C	1:0

Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide