Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21Date: 7 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)
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Eibar C |
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Aretxabaleta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.62 |
3.25 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.71 |
3.35 |
2.47 |
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2.76 |
3.44 |
2.34 |
 Watch |
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2.63 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
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2.65 |
3.15 |
2.39 |
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2.66 |
3.14 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.63) |
3.24 ↓
(3.33) |
2.41 ↑
(2.37) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Eibar C
34.1% | Draw
28.1% | Aretxabaleta
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Eibar C - Aretxabaleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).Both teams have been playing unpredictably. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eibar C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
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| 13 | Eibar C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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