Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Aurrerá de Vitoria |
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Aretxabaleta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.3 |
3.35 |
2.62 |
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2.51 |
3.54 |
2.46 |
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2.38 |
3.2 |
2.63 |
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2.3 |
3.32 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.53) |
3.35 ↑
(2.98) |
2.59 ↓
(2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aurrerá de Vitoria
38.1% | Draw
27% | Aretxabaleta
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-3.4%)Aurrerá de Vitoria - Aretxabaleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).Aurrerá de Vitoria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Aretxabaleta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Aurrerá de Vitoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
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| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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